Bear River Basin Advisory Group
Cokeville High School Library, Cokeville
September 11, 2000
Introduction - The meeting opened on Monday, September 11, 2000, at 6:10 p.m. at the
Cokeville High School Library in Cokeville, Wyoming. Copies of the agenda were handed out to
the group. The attendance sign-in list was also circulated at this time.
Planning Team Issues - Jon Wade reported on the status of the other three BAGs in the
state. The Green River BAG will be reviewing draft basin plan products at their meeting on
September 12th. The Northeast and Powder-Tongue basins are proceeding with their issues
identification process. These later BAG's have benefited from the work completed by the Bear
and Green River Basin Advisory Groups.
Future Meetings & Locations - Mr. Wade conducted a discussion relative to future meeting
dates. Presentation of the final basin plan will be at the meeting on November 6th in Evanston.
Due to the vast amount of information to be presented, the planning team felt that there should
be another meeting between now and the final meeting. This meeting will be held on October 9th
in Kemmerer at 6pm.
Consultant Draft Plan Presentation - Clarence Kemp of Forsgren Associates was introduced.
Mr. Kemp provided a flow chart of activities that have been undertaken during the planning
process. He summarized the process and conclusions to date. Mr. Kemp's presentation focused on
the following items:
- · Data Acquisition and Documentation / Water Use Profiling
- 1. Agricultural Use
- - Key Diversion Identification and Documentation
- Diversion Records
- Irrigated Lands Mapping
- Efficiencies & Return Flow Patterns
- Crop Consumptive Use Analysis
- Livestock Use
- 2. Environmental Use (Generally Non-consumptive)
- - Instream Flow Filings
- Minimum Reservoir Releases
- Minimum Conservation Pools
- Bear Valley Wildlife Refuge
- 3. Industrial Use
- - BP Amoco
- 4. Recreational Use (Generally Non-consumptive)
- - Boating
- Water Fowl Hunting
- Destination Activities
- 5. Municipal Use
- - Evanston
- 6. Domestic Use
- · Surface Water Modeling
- 1. Period Selection
2. Model Development
4. Available Surface Water Availability
Mr. Kemp reviewed the approach to the planning effort and stated that the "product is a tool" to
be used in future decisions relative to the Bear River Basin. He indicated that the final
report will be relatively brief and supported by more detailed technical memorandums addressing
the key components of the plan. It is intended to be useful to a wide range of users.
Mr. Kemp ended his part of the discussion by summarizing the amount of water available within
the basin. He discussed water storage issues and the impacts that storage have on the basin in
wet, dry, and normal years. He also asked for input from the BAG relative to storage within the
Break from 7:20 to 7:35
Future Projections and Future Water Use Opportunities - Ed Harvey of BBC, the economic
research firm preparing the water demand forecast for the Bear River Basin Plan, presented his
findings to date. Mr. Harvey discussed BBC's economic and demographic forecasts through the
year 2030. BBC performed an economic base analysis, broke the data down into sectors, and
looked at specific water use factors to determine future needs. Each sector was analyzed, and
projections made for a high and low forecast. The sectors were agriculture, energy, tourism, and
manufacturing / commercial.
Planning scenerios for the "High Case" and "Low Case" by sector were summarized as follows:
Agriculture: Growth in livestock, small increase in acreage, little or no change in
number of farms or farm workers.
Energy: Enhanced recovery and high prices support production similar to current.
Tourism: Substantial growth due to increased traffic and Evanston visibility.
Manufacturing/Commercial: Major growth engine for region.
Agriculture: Decline in livestock and acreage due to grazing limitations, refuge
Energy: Sector essentially gone by 2030.
Tourism: Substantial growth, but less than High Case.
Manufacturing/Commercial: Growth approximately offsets energy losses.
Based on the above assumptions, specific water demands were generated to the year 2030. These
additional demands were then compared against available water supply for normal and dry years.
These data indicate that shortages would be expected under even moderate growth assumptions
(particularly during the summer months in both the Upper and Central Divisions of the Bear River
Basin. The BAG concurred with the projected shortages.
The available water supply analysis reasonably matched the subjective experience of basin water
users. The BAG felt that this quantitative understanding would be very useful in understanding
water limitations, future opportunities and concerns, and in determining their solutions. The
consensus of the BAG was also that the construction of new large storage projects in the basin
was not a likely solution to water supply problems at this time based on economic, environmental,
and permitting concerns.
Mr. Kemp ended the meeting with a discussion on the process for review of technical memos by
basin advisory group members. A list of technical memos submitted to the state and available
for review was read out loud. This list will be sent to BAG members prior to the next meeting.
Meeting adjourned - 9:00 p.m.